Southern Illinois
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
284  Nick Schrader JR 32:29
347  Oscar Medina SO 32:40
364  Zach Dahleen SR 32:41
402  Brian Dixon SR 32:46
756  Juan Carrera SO 33:28
852  T.J. Heffernan SR 33:37
1,177  Cole Allison JR 34:06
1,593  Evan Ehrenheim JR 34:41
National Rank #70 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #10 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 1.1%
Top 10 in Regional 84.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nick Schrader Oscar Medina Zach Dahleen Brian Dixon Juan Carrera T.J. Heffernan Cole Allison Evan Ehrenheim
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 915 32:19 32:37 32:52 32:20 33:39 35:25
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 913 32:36 32:47 32:23 32:43 32:52 33:31
Missouri Valley Championships 11/02 901 32:27 32:32 32:25 32:51 33:01 33:28 33:44 34:41
Midwest Region Championships 11/15 1047 32:37 32:43 33:19 33:15 35:36 33:57 33:54





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0% 31.0 749 0.0
Region Championship 100% 9.1 270 0.3 0.9 2.9 9.8 20.0 31.8 18.9 9.1 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Schrader 0.3% 135.0
Oscar Medina 0.0% 148.5
Zach Dahleen 0.0% 209.5
Brian Dixon 0.0% 146.5
Juan Carrera 0.0% 246.5
T.J. Heffernan 0.0% 238.5
Cole Allison 0.0% 241.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Schrader 33.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.5 3.0 2.7 3.2
Oscar Medina 42.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.4
Zach Dahleen 44.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.0
Brian Dixon 49.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3
Juan Carrera 87.8
T.J. Heffernan 96.8
Cole Allison 126.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.3% 7.7% 0.0 0.2 0.0 4
5 0.9% 0.9 5
6 2.9% 2.9 6
7 9.8% 9.8 7
8 20.0% 20.0 8
9 31.8% 31.8 9
10 18.9% 18.9 10
11 9.1% 9.1 11
12 3.8% 3.8 12
13 1.7% 1.7 13
14 0.6% 0.6 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 67.8% 1.0 0.7
Butler 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0